2024 presidential election prediction map Trust markets, not presidential polls. Use our interactive map to forecast state-by-state results. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Trump polling map. No Prediction. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. Joe Biden triumphed in 2020 with 306 votes by winning the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania 17 hours ago · Guests watch returns during an election watch party at La Union Del Pueblo Entero, LUPE, in San Juan, Texas, Tuesday, Nov. The Odd Years. View maps and real-time results for the Nov 4, 2024 · The final electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Cook Political Report. The Odd Years Podcast; Video. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. Past Presidential Election Maps. Design your 2024 election forecast by assigning states as 'safe,' 'likely,' 'lean,' or 'toss-up. S. 2024 Presidential Forecast - Swing States. Clear Election Predictions. Click around on the map below to see what the landscape could look like after Donald Trump and Kamala Harris battle it out for 270 electoral college votes. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of Create your 2024 US presidential election prediction map with Presidential Pick'em. Use RCP's interactive map to chart each candidate's most likely path to the White House. This interactive feature shows our Presidential Forecast’s prediction for each state, and the key information that powers the forecast. 3 days ago · Results of the 2024 presidential election. Read the analysis ($) November 4: Late shift: Iowa Safe to Likely Republican Welcome to Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s Election Center — your ultimate hub for everything related to the 2024 election. There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2024 presidential election. 2024 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. Log In. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. 1. Nate Silver -- Who will accurately predict the 2024 election? 2024 US presidential election results map by state. Nov 4, 2024 · The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. Sep 27, 2024 · The most accurate map of the 2024 election you’ll see. Jul 22, 2024 · VP Harris is poised to officially become the Democratic party’s nominee at the convention in Chicago next month, following President Joe Biden’s announcement Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. Lean. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+). Presidential Election. October 29, 2024. to 6 p. Oct 31, 2024 · Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Oct 3, 2024 · The starting map reflects vote preference and turnout levels from 2020’s matchup between Trump and President Joe Biden, adjusted for demographic shifts since then. See the Crowdsourced 2024 Presidential The 2024 Presidential Election forecast from RacetotheWH. Originally created by FiveThirtyEight, the website founded by pollster and political analyst Nate Silver, this site visualizes political data relating to the The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. View maps and real-time results for the Nov 5, 2024 · Polls overestimated Democrats by an average of 3-4 points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, for example, and overestimated Republicans by an average of 2. Nov 5, 2024 · With the 2024 presidential election a week away, 538’s Galen Druke and G. Oct 31, 2024 · The latest polling data shows that Trump could win the election if it were held on October 31, after the former president recently took a slim lead over the vice president in Pennsylvania. 6, after the election was called for Donald Trump. 1 percent of Nov 3, 2024 · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. The map automatically updates three times daily. Put the Electoral Vote Map on Your Site RCP Electoral Map State Changes; No Toss Ups Map State Changes; RCP Senate Map Race Changes; Senate No Toss Ups Race Changes; RCP House Map Race Changes; RCP Governor Map Race Changes; It takes 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president Nov 7, 2024 · Track US presidential election predictions live at The Sports Geek. Race ratings are Choose a starting map, then select which party will win each state. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. Geography, history, and politics in maps. Nov 4, 2024 · View the latest 2024 Biden Trump Presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. November 4: Iowa and NE-01 Safe to Likely Republican. Nov 4, 2024 · Presidential; Charts. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. net experimental 2024 forecast predicts, to the final popular vote being cast, the results of the upcoming U. Four years after Biden's victory, the United States is gearing up for another Presidential election. Road to 270 It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. These graphics and estimates will no longer be updated. Elliott Morris Nov 5, 2024 · We stopped updating these forecasts at 5:45 a. local time throughout the state, according to elect. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting. Jan 7, 2025 · This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. This data driven model was created by Logan Phillips, who founded the website in 2020. Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Election. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed. Statistic Harris Trump; Win % Average Votes: Max Votes: Median Verified Map Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. PredictWise uses the wisdom of the crowd, via real-money prediction markets, to determine the likelihood of events. RacetotheWH is tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Presidential Election, and now includes polling for both Kamala Harris against Donald Trump. 4th. Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. 3 days ago · 2024 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election 2024 Presidential Election Predictions. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average. November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican. 4 point lead with 48. October 30, 2024. President Popular Vote. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U. This time it is Biden's VP, Kamala Harris, who is trying to win The White House. Click or tap a It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. And if you want to change history, just click on the states on each electoral college map to see what could have been. ABC News. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. Latest 2024 Polls; Create Your Own Map 2024 RCP Electoral College Map. 3 days ago · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. (AP Photo/Eric Gay) John Liberty/Motivf for Nationhood Lab. Interactive Political Maps. Our live map updates with data-driven election forecasting for the electoral college vote from leading pollsters. This is the final Presidential Forecast before the election. To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here > This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. Nov 9, 2024 · Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. Nov 5, 2024 · This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. 2024 Electoral College Calculator; 2024 Republican Primary Timeline; Results 3 days ago · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. 5? Polls will be open from 6 a. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota. Click or tap a 2024 RCP Electoral College Map. It's the March Madness of the 2024 US Presidential Election! It is also a crowd sourced data project to see how the masses are predicting the election. Harris; National Multi-Candidate; RCP Electoral Map; No Toss Up Map; Latest State Polls; Top Battlegrounds; President Betting Odds; RCP Senate Map; Latest Senate Polls; Generic Ballot; Trump vs. Oct 30, 2024 · Recent polling suggests the 2024 presidential election remains too close to call, with a model produced by election aggregator FiveThirtyEight giving Harris a 1. Build your projection using 2024 CNN ratings or past Use NBC News' interactive electoral vote map to see scenarios for each party's path to the presidency in 2024. Jul 25, 2024 · We've created a Harris vs. It will be updated every four hours. The “Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections” includes 12 different models forecasting the results of the 2024 United States presidential election, each predicting the winner of both the popular vote Jan 7, 2025 · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. If you want to review presidential election history, we have interactive electoral maps for 2024, 2020, 2016, 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000, 1996 and 1992. States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. The 2024 US Presidential Election was a pivotal event, with Donald Trump emerging victorious by securing the necessary 270 out of 538 electoral college votes. 23, 2024. Close. This shift came after a legal battle between Kalshi, a prediction market for event contracts and its regulator, the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Briefings The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. 2024 2020 2016 Presidential 2024 Presidential 2020 Presidential 2016 Presidential 2012 Presidential 2008 Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. Source: 270toWin . Shows. Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream; Atlas Weblog; Election Tools. Oct 4, 2024 · For the first time in about a century, it is legal for U. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 presidential election predictions:Allan Lichtman vs. Find out which states are solid, swing, or split vote, and how they affect the outcome of the race. 1 The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. 2024 Presidential Forecast. See the Crowdsourced 2024 Presidential Presidential Pick'Em is an interactive competition where you predict the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election by filling out an electoral map. Red Donkey Projections. The electoral college system, a cornerstone of the American electoral process, plays a critical role in determining the Jan 7, 2025 · Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from the PredictWise state-level probabilities. Oct 30, 2024 · The Map Maker. Safe is 15% or higher. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Latest 2024 Polls; Trump vs. In close elections whoever is better able to get their side to actually cast ballots win the swing states. By Amina Brown, Katie Marriner, Aaron Bycoffe and G. Trump. gov. Nov 16, 2023 · Joe Biden has seen a sharp drop in his approval rating over the past three weeks, allowing Donald Trump to gain ground in the polls in several swing states. Nov 4, 2021 · United States interactive 2024 presidential election map. ky. Republican. 2024 RCP Electoral College Map. 5, 2024. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. residents to trade election contracts in a regulated prediction market. PoliticsGaming. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page. House. 2 days ago · Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2024 presidential race, see how states are expected to vote and look at previous election results. The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. Video. The RacetotheWH Presidential Forecast predicts the winner for every state in the nation, after taking into account the latest polling, each state’s recent electoral history, and national economic trends over the last two years. November 1: NE-02 Lean to Likely Democrat. 5. Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. Months of research has allowed us to create a map that will consistently offer a useful picture of the outcome of the presidential race. Jan 7, 2025 · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Use the buttons below, or scroll down the page, to explore how hypothetical changes in vote choice and turnout among different groups could alter the outcome of the 2024 election Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. Jan 6, 2025 · Analyzing the 2024 US Presidential Election Margins by State. This will replace the Biden vs. Latest 2024 Polls; President Popular Vote. Yet Another Political Map Simulator YAPms. Live. Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2024 election simulator. The model was frozen at 4:00PM Nov. dropped out of the race on Aug. It is current as of the map timestamp. Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral Nov 2, 2024 · See the latest electoral map projection for the 2024 U. Shop. 5 points in the 2012 Simulate the Election - 2024 Presidential Election . For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete. 1 day ago · On Sept. Click or tap a Dec 22, 2020 · A by-the-numbers approach predicting the winner of the 2024 U. Sponsored content Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results. Trump polling map that is no longer being updated. Presidential Election With these results online since 12/22/2020 , the AmericanPresidents. Median 2024 Presidential Election Prediction Verified User Maps. This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. Click or tap a Nov 4, 2024 · When are Kentucky voting polls open on Election Day 2024, Tuesday, Nov. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used. m. If you are in line by Jul 6, 2024 · Polling Map. Apr 23, 2024 · NPR's electoral map organizes states into seven categories – Toss Up, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Likely Republican, Likely Democratic, Safe Republican and Safe Democratic. 3 days ago · This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. Finish the 2024 map and explore Trump and Harris' paths to 270 electoral votes. Elliott Morris discuss the relevancy of early voting data. Map 1 shows these initial ratings. 1 The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same , other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020. Presidential Election, based on current polling and historical trends. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. These are the final ratings. It takes 270 electoral votes to win. Click or tap a Oct 23, 2024 · With just weeks remaining until 2024’s elections, “PS: Political Science & Politics” has published its election models edited by Wake Forest University faculty. Oct 29, 2024 · The final 2024 Presidential Power Rankings from Fox News. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market. Full 2022 Cook PVI Report; District Map and List; State Map and List; Historical PVI Values (1997-2021) CPR+. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Click or tap a The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. Nov 4, 2024 · The final electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. It also features a polling-driven Electoral College Map, which shows the current leader based on the polling average in each state. 3 days ago · This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Biden; Historical Polling Archive Jun 29, 2023 · But with few truly competitive states and a relatively high floor for both parties, our best guess is yet another close and competitive presidential election next year — which, if it happened, would be the sixth such instance in seven elections (with 2008 as the only real outlier). Every day, run through a new simulation of the 2024 Presidenital Election election as both parties race for the 270 electoral votes they need to secure victory. . Kamala Harris 281 electoral votes; Donald Trump Presidential Pick'Em is an interactive competition where you predict the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election by filling out an electoral map. Dive into the most comprehensive collection of polls across the nation, forecast the presidency, House, and Senate outcomes, and explore detailed results for every primary and general election as soon as they are called. 2024 Presidential Election Prediction. Forecast and Graphics Designed by: Logan Phillips. Kennedy Jr. This map tracks the Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Note that as a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. com. 538. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used. Road Map to Redistricting 2021-2022; 2024 House Vote Tracker; House Open Seat Tracker; Senate; Governors; Cook PVI℠ 2023 Cook PVI; 2022 Cook PVI. View maps and real-time results for the 2024 US presidential election matchup between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Aug 26, 2024 · 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map August 26, 2024 The most comprehensive website featuring interactive maps and data relating to U. 'Reach 270 electoral votes to predict the president. Aug 18, 2024 · Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascent to the top of the Democratic ticket has dramatically reshaped the 2024 electoral map since earlier this year, when the contest looked to be between an Jan 7, 2025 · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Election 2024. Presidential elections is 270towin. In 2020 Trump was so polarizing as President that a high percentage of fair weather Democrats were driven to go vote for Biden but I doubt that happens now with his lackluster performance as president. The polling map does not consider forecasts of how the election will go in November. Sep 9, 2024 · Explore The Ways Trump Or Harris Could Win The 2024 Election Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. axuvo zxyrjtcr isg xsbs cpqcg xfkgiq qzc fenykud slwc bodw